Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions

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Gawdzilla Sama
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Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions

Postby Gawdzilla Sama » Sun Feb 18, 2018 6:40 pm

[url]Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions[/url]

Researchers point out that there are many paths to compliance

Date: February 16, 2018

Source: Carnegie Mellon University

Summary: Researchers have calculated that the US can meet -- or even beat -- the near-term carbon dioxide emission reductions required by the United Nations Paris Agreement, despite the Trump Administration's withdrawal of the Clean Power Plan (CPP).

Carnegie Mellon University researchers have calculated that the U.S. can meet -- or even beat -- the near-term carbon dioxide emission reductions required by the United Nations Paris Agreement, despite the Trump Administration's withdrawal of the Clean Power Plan (CPP).

Published in an Environmental Science & Technology viewpoint, the CMU team used data from U.S. Energy Information Administration's 2017 Annual Energy Outlook to examine projected power sector carbon dioxide emissions to determine if the CPP emission targets for 2020, 2025 and 2030 can still be met. They found that emissions declined from 2.7 billion tons to an estimated 1.9 billion tons and revealed a strong link to natural gas prices as being a driving market force. The decrease puts U.S. emissions reduction at the CPP's planned 2025 target this year.

"The U.S. has already come quite far in reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The biggest driver of lower carbon dioxide emissions has been declining natural gas prices, which has allowed the industry to replace coal-fired power plants economically with cleaner natural gas power plants -- and without a costly regulatory mandate," said Jeffrey J. Anderson, a doctoral candidate in the Department of Engineering and Public Policy.

Additional actions are needed to assure longer-term compliance with Paris Agreement objectives -- and to safeguard against the impact of a rise in natural gas prices. For example, regulatory and legislative focuses should be on maintaining the trajectory that the market forces have created to sustain the current transition period into the intermediate future. To meet longer-term and deeper de-carbonization goals, there will be a need for proactive regulatory activity. In addition, incentivizing low or zero carbon dioxide-emitting sources, improving energy efficiency and encouraging repowering and retrofitting option.


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Gord
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Re: Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions

Postby Gord » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:41 am

Gawdzilla Sama wrote:[url]Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions[/url].

:|

Even without the clean power plan, US can achieve Paris Agreement emissions reductions

Their claim is that lower natural gas prices have been the driving force in getting industry to use it, rather than any regulations. They then claim that regulations will be required to continue the downward trend. But will the Trump regime be interested in putting such regulations into place?

Probably not.
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